Racetrack odds on Academy Award winners were drafted by David Scott of America's Line (americasline.com) based upon the opinions of the experts cited below. The odds are issued for entertainment purposes only and should not be used for gambling.
OSCARS PUNDITS
Edward Douglas, Comingsoon.net
Tom O'Neil, GoldDerby, TheEnvelope.com
Michael Phillips, Chicago Tribune
Steve Pond, Oscar Beat, TheEnvelope.com
|
Gene Seymour, Newsday
Peter Travers, Rolling Stone
Ken Tucker, Entertainment Weekly
Mike Sragow, Baltimore Sun
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ODDS
| BEST PICTURE | |
| "Brokeback Mountain" | 4/5 |
| "Crash" | 2/1 |
| "Good Night, and Good Luck" | 3/1 |
| "Capote" | 30/1 |
| "Munich" | 40/1 |
| | |
| BEST DIRECTOR | |
| Ang Lee, "Brokeback Mountain" | 1/4 |
| Paul Haggis, "Crash" | 9/2 |
| George Clooney, "Good Night, and Good Luck" | 5/1 |
| Bennett Miller, "Capote" | 40/1 |
| Steven Spielberg, "Munich" | 50/1 |
| | |
| BEST ACTOR | |
| Philip Seymour Hoffman, "Capote" | 1/2 |
| Heath Ledger, "Brokeback Mountain" | 5/2 |
| Terrence Howard, "Hustle & Flow" | 8/1 |
| Joaquin Phoenix, "Walk the Line" | 10/1 |
| David Strathairn, "Good Night, and Good Luck" | 20/1 |
| | |
| BEST ACTRESS | |
| Reese Witherspoon, "Walk the Line" | 3/5 |
| Felicity Huffman, "Transamerica" | 3/1 |
| Keira Knightley, "Pride & Prejudice" | 7/2 |
| Judi Dench, "Mrs. Henderson Presents" | 20/1 |
| Charlize Theron, "North Country" | 25/1 |
| | |
| BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR | |
| George Clooney, "Syriana" | 2/1 |
| Paul Giamatti, "Cinderella Man" | Even |
| Matt Dillon, "Crash" | 3/1 |
| Jake Gyllenhaal, "Brokeback Mountain" | 10/1 |
| William Hurt, "A History of Violence" | 50/1 |
| | |
| BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS | |
| Rachel Weisz, "The Constant Gardener" | 7/5 |
| Michelle Williams, "Brokeback Mountain" | 8/5 |
| Amy Adams, "Junebug" | 9/5 |
| Catherine Keener, "Capote" | 40/1 |
| Frances McDormand, "North Country" | 50/1 |
| | |
| BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | |
| Paul Haggis and Bobby Moresco, "Crash" | 1/3 |
| George Clooney and Grant Heslov, "Good Night, and Good Luck" | 5/2 |
| Noah Baumbach, "The Squid and the Whale" | 15/1 |
| Woody Allen, "Match Point" | 20/1 |
| Steven Gaghan, "Syriana" | 25/1 |
| | |
| BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | |
| Larry McMurtry and Diana Ossana, "Brokeback Mountain" | 1/5 |
| Dan Futterman, "Capote" | 3/1 |
| Tony Kushner and Eric Roth, "Munich" | 20/1 |
| Jeffrey Caine, "The Constant Gardener" | 30/1 |
| Josh Olson, "A History of Violence" | 40/1 |
| | |
| BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM | |
| "Tsotsi" (South Africa) | 1/2 |
| "Paradise Now" (Palestine) | 5/2 |
| "Sophie Scholl – The Final Days" (Germany) | 10/1 |
| "Joyeux Noël" (France) | 8/1 |
| "Don't Tell" (Italy) | 20/1 |
| | |
| BEST ANIMATED FILM | |
| "Wallace & Grommit: Curse of the Were – Rabbit" | 1/25 |
| "Tim Burton's Corpse Bride" | 8/1 |
| "Howl's Moving Castle" | 10/1 |
| | |
| BEST ORIGINAL SCORE | |
| "Brokeback Mountain," Gustavo Santaolalla | 3/5 |
| "Memoirs of a Geisha," John Williams | Even |
| "The Constant Gardener," Alberto Iglesias | 30/1 |
| "Pride & Prejudice," Dario Marianelli | 40/1 |
| "Munich," John Williams | 50/1 |
| | |
| BEST ORIGINAL SONG | |
| "It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp" ("Hustle & Flow"), music and lyrics by Jordan Houston, Cedric Coleman and Paul Beauregard | 3/5 |
| "In the Deep" ("Crash"), music by Kathleen "Bird" York and Michael Becker; lyrics by Kathleen "Bird" York | 4/5 |
| "Travelin' Thru" ("Transamerica"), music and lyrics by Dolly Parton | 50/1 |
*************
PUNDITS' PREDIX PER CATEGORY
| BEST PICTURE | | | | | | | | |
| "Brokeback Mountain" | Douglas | O'Neil | Phillips | Pond | Seymour | Travers | Tucker | Sragow |
| "Crash" | | | | | | | | |
| "Good Night, and Good Luck" | | | | | | | | |
| "Capote" | | | | | | | | |
| "Munich" | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| BEST DIRECTOR | | | | | | | | |
| Ang Lee, "Brokeback Mountain" | Douglas | O'Neil | Phillips | Pond | Seymour | Travers | Tucker | Sragow |
| Paul Haggis, "Crash" | | | | | | | | |
| George Clooney, "Good Night, and Good Luck" | | | | | | | | |
| Bennett Miller, "Capote" | | | | | | | | |
| Steven Spielberg, "Munich" | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| BEST ACTOR | | | | | | | | |
| Philip Seymour Hoffman, "Capote" | Douglas | O'Neil | Phillips | Pond | Seymour | Travers | Tucker | Sragow |
| Heath Ledger, "Brokeback Mountain" | | | | | | | | |
| Terrence Howard, "Hustle & Flow" | | | | | | | | |
| Joaquin Phoenix, "Walk the Line" | | | | | | | | |
| David Strathairn, "Good Night, and Good Luck" | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| BEST ACTRESS | | | | | | | | |
| Reese Witherspoon, "Walk the Line" | Douglas | Phillips | Pond | Seymour | Travers | Tucker | Sragow | |
| Felicity Huffman, "Transamerica" | O'Neil | | | | | | | |
| Keira Knightley, "Pride & Prejudice" | | | | | | | | |
| Judi Dench, "Mrs. Henderson Presents" | | | | | | | | |
| Charlize Theron, "North Country" | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR | | | | | | | | |
| George Clooney, "Syriana" | O'Neil | Sragow | Pond | | | | | |
| Paul Giamatti, "Cinderella Man" | Phillips | Travers | Tucker | | | | | |
| Matt Dillon, "Crash" | Douglas | Seymour | | | | | | |
| Jake Gyllenhaal, "Brokeback Mountain" | | | | | | | | |
| William Hurt, "A History of Violence" | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS | | | | | | | | |
| Rachel Weisz, "The Constant Gardener" | Douglas | O'Neil | Phillips | Pond | Seymour | Travers | Sragow | |
| Michelle Williams, "Brokeback Mountain" | Tucker | | | | | | | |
| Amy Adams, "Junebug" | | | | | | | | |
| Catherine Keener, "Capote" | | | | | | | | |
| Frances McDormand, "North Country" | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | | | | | | | | |
| Paul Haggis and Bobby Moresco, "Crash" | Douglas | O'Neil | Phillips | Pond | Seymour | Travers | Tucker | Sragow |
| George Clooney and Grant Heslov, "Good Night, and Good Luck" | | | | | | | | |
| Noah Baumbach, "The Squid and the Whale" | | | | | | | | |
| Woody Allen, "Match Point" | | | | | | | | |
| Steven Gaghan, "Syriana" | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | | | | | | | | |
| Larry McMurtry and Diana Ossana, "Brokeback Mountain" | Douglas | O'Neil | Phillips | Pond | Seymour | Travers | Tucker | Sragow |
| Dan Futterman, "Capote" | | | | | | | | |
| Tony Kushner and Eric Roth, "Munich" | | | | | | | | |
| Jeffrey Caine, "The Constant Gardener" | | | | | | | | |
| Josh Olson, "A History of Violence" | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM | | | | | | | | |
| "Tsotsi" (South Africa) | O'Neil | Pond | Seymour | Tucker | | | | |
| "Paradise Now" (Palestine) | Phillips | Travers | | | | | | |
| "Sophie Scholl – The Final Days" (Germany) | Douglas | | | | | | | |
| "Joyeux Noël" (France) | Sragow | | | | | | | |
| "Don't Tell" (Italy) | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| BEST ANIMATED FILM | | | | | | | | |
| "Wallace & Grommit: Curse of the Were-Rabbit" | Douglas | O'Neil | Phillips | Pond | Seymour | Travers | Tucker | Sragow |
| "Tim Burton's Corpse Bride" | | | | | | | | |
| "Howl's Moving Castle" | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| BEST ORIGINAL SCORE | | | | | | | | |
| "Brokeback Mountain," Gustavo Santaolalla | O'Neil | Phillips | Pond | Seymour | Travers | Sragow | | |
| "Memoirs of a Geisha," John Williams | Douglas | Tucker | | | | | | |
| "The Constant Gardener," Alberto Iglesias | | | | | | | | |
| "Pride & Prejudice," Dario Marianelli | | | | | | | | |
| "Munich," John Williams | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| BEST ORIGINAL SONG | | | | | | | | |
| "It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp" ("Hustle & Flow"), music and lyrics by Jordan Houston, Cedric Coleman and Paul Beauregard | O'Neil | Douglas | Phillips | Sragow | Seymour | | | |
| "In the Deep" ("Crash"), music by Kathleen "Bird" York and Michael Becker; lyrics by Kathleen "Bird" York | Tucker | Pond | | | | | | |
| "Travelin' Thru" ("Transamerica"), music and lyrics by Dolly Parton | Travers | | | | | | | |
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