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'Good Night, and Good Luck'
'Good Night, and Good Luck': The best picture nominee managed only $1.5 million in wide release after the Oscar announcement.
(Melinda Sue Gordon / Warner Independent Pictures)


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Brandon Gray is the founder, president and publisher of Box Office Mojo (www.boxofficemojo.com), an online movie publication and box office tracking service. His weekly analysis of box office results and the awards races will appear every Wednesday on The Envelope.
Box Office Analysis

Bump and grind

Oscar-nominated films still get a B.O. boost, but these days that jump doesn't come as easy — or as high.
By Brandon Gray
February 6, 2006
While snarky pundits and websites devote themselves to tracking the minutiae of the Oscars and other awards, the moviegoing public doesn't appear to put much stock in the Academy Awards anymore.

Sure, an Oscar nomination raises awareness for select movies that otherwise might have fallen by the wayside, allowing those pictures somewhat steady business in theaters through the awards telecast.

But rarely do those same pictures creep into the mainstream consciousness. Their time in the spotlight is limited mostly to the period between the nominations announcement and the awards show.

This year is shaping up to be more of the same — only less.

In the first weekend since Oscar nominations were announced, the four best picture nominees still in theaters received only modest boosts at the box office.

Nomination front-runner "Brokeback Mountain" actually retreated 8% to $6 million, despite a significant expansion to 2,089 theaters. With $60.1 million in the till, what once looked like a lock to cross the $100 million mark is looking more like a long shot.

"Capote" went nationwide for the first time since it began its successful platform release in September. The result was a marginal improvement — $2.3 million at 1,239 theaters. And this was the nominee that had the most to gain, given how few people had seen it.

"Good Night, and Good Luck" re-emerged in wide release to little avail, mustering $1.5 million at 929 theaters, while the faded "Munich" was flat over last weekend with $1.7 million.

Best picture shutout "Walk the Line" was arguably more impressive with its 8% jump to $3.3 million. Of course, the Johnny Cash biopic was already a hit without help from Oscar; the picture's total gross now stands at $110.6 million.

By comparison, last year's post-nomination jumps seem monumental, especially since the movies were a little older than this year's and more widely seen. "Million Dollar Baby" had its first exposure to a nationwide audience and made $12.3 million, while the other four nominees — "The Aviator," "Sideways," "Finding Neverland" and "Ray" — expanded and enjoyed sizable boosts in business.

To be fair, this year's crop faced off against the Super Bowl, which always hits the Sunday box office hard. On average, movies tend to drop more than 60% from Saturday to Sunday opposite the big game, and this year's best picture nominees were no exception.

For an apples-to-apples comparison, the last time the post-nominations weekend coincided with the Super Bowl was in 2004, and the nominated movies took it in stride. "Mystic River" jumped 30% with no major expansion, while "Lost in Translation" and "Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World" expanded with more relative oomph than "Capote" and "Good Night, and Good Luck." That year was also the last time the academy nominated a popular array of pictures.

At its best, the Oscars celebrate the movies in glamorous fashion. And while people still respond to the glamour, they don't seem to be connecting with the films themselves.

Which makes you wonder about the academy's continued efforts to mine little-seen treasures. If the weekend box office is any indication, their insular focus is taking a toll.

Will the best picture candidates rebound between now and March 5? Hollywood better hope so, or else it might only be those snarky pundits and industry types tuning in.





What happens when the Super Bowl lands on a post-Oscar noms weekend
Title Weekend Gross Percent Change from Previous Weekend Theater Count Theater Change Total Gross-to-Date Week #
Feb. 3-5, 2006
Brokeback Mountain $6,003,544 -8.2% 2,089 +435 $60,102,890 9
Capote $2,291,075 +229.4% 1,239 +914 $17,996,465 19
Munich $1,675,150 +0.3% 1,151 +171 $42,960,295 7
Good Night, and Good Luck. $1,522,238 +739.6% 929 +824 $26,755,301 18
Jan. 30-Feb. 1, 2004
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King $5,310,803 -21.7% 2,256 -302 $345,331,815 7
Mystic River $4,378,417 +30.0% 1,370 +43 $64,858,601 17
Lost in Translation $2,156,557 +197.1% 632 +275 $37,437,901 21
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World $2,106,759 +492.2% 1,118 +883 $87,568,647 12
Source: Box Office Mojo            






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