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Get out the vote: 2009 Oscar host

   
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Hosting the Academy Awards may be the toughest gig in show biz. As the telecast's annual ratings decline, talk of a reinvention is on the upswing.

This week academy chiefs showed they're serious about Oscar's new beginning when they asked producer Laurence Mark and director Bill Condon to oversee the struggling show. The announcement sent Hollywood pundits into a tizzy: Who will Mark and Condon choose to host? Will they draw on industry pals? (Mark produced "I, Robot" starring Will Smith. Condon plans to do a Richard Pryor film that may star Jamie Foxx.) Or will the academy insist, as always, on Billy Crystal, Oscar's go-to host?

Add in the buzz surrounding Ricky Gervais following his raved-about skit on the Emmys and you've got yourself an interesting batch of contenders.

Take a look at The Envelope's candidates and vote.
(Mark J. Terrill / Associated Press)

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Tom O'Neil, Gold Derby Tom O'Neil
Tom O'Neil is the author of "Movie Awards," "The Emmys" and "The Grammys" (Penguin Putnam Books) and has reported on showbiz awards for the L.A. Times, New York Times, Washington Post, Variety, TV Guide, Reader's Digest and other major media. In 1999, he launched GoldDerby.com, the first website devoted to predicting all top showbiz awards. It was acquired by the Los Angeles Times in November 2005 and folded into the launch of TheEnvelope.com.

O'Neil's special interest is how the awards affect each other, particularly the top film prizes that can be viewed as one single gold derby with the Oscars as the finish line. Consider what happened to "Chariots of Fire," for example. In 1981, it emerged from obscurity to win awards at the Cannes Film Festival and the National Board of Review, then fell behind "Reds" and "Atlantic City" at the film critics' awards and Golden Globes, then trotted ahead as best-picture champ at the Oscars. Contact O'Neil: GoldDerby@gmail.com.

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